The Conventional Wisdom is that Israel's relationship with the United States is a Geopolitical Necessity.
The period after WWII was one long cycle peaking in the 1990s (see time plot below).** The future (in the Phase Space above) is projected to be one of continuing stable but large cycles.
The AIC Statistics (in the Notes below) show that the short-term is best thought of as a Random Walk (RW) while the IS_L20 US-Input model is a strong long-term competitor (see below).
Notes
The historical time plot for the IL_L20 BAU Model is presented above.
The IL_L20 US-Input Model is stable and highly cyclical.
Notes
** The were developments in the 1990s favoring the Economy of Israel (particularly in-migration) and developments in the 2000s (the Dot-Com Bubble) which crashed the heavily tech-dependent economy.
- Economy of Israel
- Economy of the Middle-East
- History of Israel
- History of the Middle East
- World-System leader in Technological Change the Economy of Israel.
- The Myth of Israel Innovation
- Blog Roll: Israel
- Blog Roll: Middle East North Africa
Israeli Peace Process
- Abraham Accords a set of agreements that established diplomatic normalization between Israel and several Arab states, beginning with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.
- Oslo Accords a pair of interim agreements between Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO): the Oslo I Accord, signed in Washington, D.C., in 1993;[1] and the Oslo II Accord, signed in Taba, Egypt, in 1995.
- Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty following the 1978 Camp David Accords, the Egypt–Israel treaty was signed by Anwar Sadat, President of Egypt, and Menachem Begin, Prime Minister of Israel, and witnessed by Jimmy Carter, President of the United States.
- Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty an agreement that ended the state of war that had existed between the two countries since the 1948 Arab–Israeli War and established mutual diplomatic relations.
- Gaza Peace Plan a multilateral agreement between Israel and Hamas that aims to address the ongoing Gaza war and broader Middle Eastern crisis.
- Two-State Solution a proposed approach to resolving the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, by creating two states on the territory of the former Mandatory Palestine.
- Arab-Israel Normalization since the 1970s, a parallel effort to find terms upon which peace can be agreed to in the Arab–Israeli conflict and also specifically the Israeli–Palestinian conflict.
IL_L20 Measurement Model
Three Component State Variables explain over 98% of the variation in the indicators: IL1 = (Overall Growth), IL2 = (LU - KOF - EF) Unemployment Controller and IL3 = (EF + L - KOF - HDI) Environmental-Labor Controller.
IL_L20 US-Input Model
IL_L20 AIC Statistics
The AIC Statistics are all closely grouped meaning that there is not one, dominant Geopolitical model.
